John Hazelet's Daily Fantasy: Week 7
Keep all of these plays in mind when you go to https://mybookie.lv/sportsbook/nfl-odds/ to place your bets for this week.
QB Value Plays
Alex Smith 7200 vs Saints is my top value play this week. Saints D allows a ton of points through the air and I really like the value with Smith in this matchup. Throw in the fact the game is at Aarowhead and I think this is a no brainer.
Kirk Cousins 7300 @ Lions: Case Keenum put up 30+ @ Lions last week with an offense with very little talent. Cousins comes in with a team full of offensive talent. I think his value at 7300 is very good. He would be my play of the week if I was sure Reed was playing. I like him with or without but he becomes my favorite value at QB if Reed is active.
Philip Rivers 7800 @ Falcons: Let’s all take a minute to appreciate the numbers Rivers puts up on a consistent basis with the amount of offensive players the Chargers have on IR.. I like his matchup this week @ Atlanta. I am not yet a believer in the Falcons this year mainly because of their Defense. Rivers should put up 20 points this week in a game that could be a shootout.
Andy Dalton 8100 vs Browns, Marcus Mariota 7900 vs Colts, Jameis Winston 7500 @ 49ers
RB Value Plays
Devonta Freeman 7500 vs Chargers: The Chargers still struggle to stop the run and I think Freeman is due for a big game. I actually like Coleman this week also against this defense.
Terrance West 6900 @ Jets: Hard not to like any RB against the Jets this season. West is 4th in the league in rushing yards since taking over as the starter. I think he could put up 100 yards and a td this week.
Matt Forte 6700 vs Ravens: Yes I know he has been dreadful outside of week 2 but with Geno Smith now under center (don’t get me started) I think the Jets will really look to get their ground game going again.
LeGarrette Blount 7100 @ Steelers, Tevin Coleman 6200 vs Chargers, James White 6100 @ Steelers, Jacquizz Rodgers 5600 @ 49’ers, Mike Davis 4500 vs Buccs.
WR Value plays
Mike Evans 8000 @ 49ers leads my value picks for week 7. At 8000 he isn’t the cheapest pick but I think with V. Jackson out Evans should see a large increase in targets against an awful defense.
Adam Thielen 5400 @ Eagles: Thielen has basically been the Vikings WR1 this season. He has put up a nice amount of points his last 2 weeks and I think that he continues to build on his rapport with Bradford.
Jeremy Maclin 6800 @ Saints: I love this value against the Saints D. Maclin can put up numbers against good defenses. The Saints D is not good.
Mike Wallace 6900 @ Jets, Jamison Crowder 6200 @ Lions, Allen Hurns 6000 vs Raiders, Justin Hunter 4900 @ Dolphins
TE Value Plays
Jordan Reed 7300 @ Lions: If Healthy and under 8000 he will always be my favorite start at TE. Keep an eye on him late in the week If healthy, he is a start.. If not, keep an eye on WR Jamison Crowder, his value goes way up without Reed.
Delanie Walker 6500 @ Colts: I love this matchup vs the Colts D. If you read my article or listen to our show you know that I always pick against the Colts D. Walker is a top 5 TE in the league, Colts are a bottom 5 D in the league.
Hunter Henry 5800 @ Falcons: Might be my favorite play of the entire week, Henry is emerging as a top TE and Rivers loves this guy.. 5800?? Yes please!
Travis Kelce 6300 vs Saints, Dennis Pitta 5300 @ Jets
K Value Plays
Adam Vinatieri 4900 @ Titans: When you find a kicker that averages 13 Fanduel points per game he becomes an automatic start. Keep in mind, 13 ppg is more than ¾ of the active WR’s. Monster number for a kicker.
Matt Bryant 4700 vs Chargers, Mike Nugent 4600 vs Browns, Josh Lambo 4600 @ Falcons
D Value Plays
Vikings 4900 @ Eagles Similar to Vinatieri, 16.6 Fanduel points per game is a huge number for a defense. Find a way to get them in your lineup. I have been riding the Vikings D since week 1, I am not stopping now.
Bills 4700 @ Dolphins, Patriots 4400 @ Steelers
Stacks I like..
Brady 9100 with James White 6100, Gronk 8500 and Patriots D 4400.. Brady is back in full form and he has been feeding 2 players specifically. Gronk and White. Team them up this week and add the Patriots under valued defense against a backup QB. I think the Steelers will be able to run the ball early but I think their run game goes in the garbage once the Patriots have a comfortable lead. This stack still leaves you almost 6400 per player to fill the roster.
Here is a big boy stack that will make you work a little harder to fill your roster.. Matt Ryan 8700 with Tevin Coleman 6200 and Julio Jones 9200. Playing at home vs the Chargers I like the Jones, Ryan tandem to put up some good points this week. Add Coleman to the mix for close to 15 total touches and I think you have some good points here.. If I want to get freaky you can even sub out Coleman for Freeman @7400 but you will work a little harder to fill your roster.
For my last stack I will give you Andy Dalton 8100 with AJ Green 8500 and Mike Nugent 4600. The Ginger Express should put up some points against the 26th ranked pass defense. I look for him to hit the big man AJ Green early and often. I would even feel safe adding Jeremy Hill or the Bengals D to this stack.
I am going to give you a sample lineup using a different type of stack. I call it the double down stack. I take 1 game that I think could be high scoring and use at least 2 players from each team.. In this case I am going to take the Chargers at Falcons game..
QB: Phillip Rivers 7800 (Chargers)
RB: Tevin Coleman 6200 (Falcons)
RB: Gio Bernard 6300 (Bengals)
WR: Julio Jones 9200 (Falcons)
WR: Alen Robinson 8400 (Jaguars)
WR: DeSean Jackson 6500 (Redskins)
TE: Hunter Henry 5800 (Chargers)
K: Matt Bryant 4700 (Falcons)
D: Vikings 4900