Brandon Turner’s Best Bets: Week 15

December 15, 2018

 

We went 1-2 last week to put us at 26-21-2 on the year, but Sam Darnold became the youngest QB ever to lead a game winning drive in the modern era so week 14 felt like a win to me. Don’t forget week 15 is the beginning of Saturday games so get your bets and lineups ready early.

Cleveland Browns (+3) at Denver Broncos
Vegas considers this game a toss-up, signaled by the customary 3 points to the home team being the only difference between the two squads, I disagree. The broncos have struggled against teams with strong rushing attacks that like to operate out of play-action with lots of bootlegs sprinkled in. Folks, no team loves play-action and bootlegs like the Cleveland Browns. Nick Chubb is an absolute beast and Baker has been on fire. On the opposite side Emmanuel Sanders is out and Courtland Sutton is struggling with injury. Fire up the Browns with confidence.


Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) vs New England Patriots
The Dolphins laid a blueprint out for how to slow down NE’s offense. Commit to shutting down their power running schemes and force Gordon and Edelman to beat you outside. The Steelers have the personnel to do that. Sony Michel will struggle to get going and Brady will have to rely on James White to drive the offense forward. Meanwhile the Steelers will be at home with a game they’re hyping up as probably the biggest of their regular season. The Steelers are victim to trap games but they seem to always get fired up for big ones, especially at home, lay the bet on Pitt.


Los Angeles Rams (-13) vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Oh you spoiled spoiled Eagles fans. Blaming Carson Wentz for your godawful offense. Last week the Eagles were shut down by the Cowboys putting Byron Jones on Zach Ertz for every 3rd down. Why were they able to get away with this? Because none of the Eagles WRs scare anybody. They’re probably the slowest corp in the league, so defenses figure they can take the risk to shut down Ertz and the worst that can happen is they’ll give up a 10 yard pass at most. The only reason the Eagles offense hasn’t been absolutely nonexistent is the otherworldly play of Carson Wentz. Apparently the Eagles staff declined to tell him he had broken his backs weeks ago and he’ll be out and possibly contemplating suing someone. Nick Foles is going to show Eagles fans this week how lucky they are to have Wentz. Take the Rams at home. 

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